Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1429.617866 1635.239175 1866.325758 2146.475907 2478.514512 2861.450604 3339.331214
2025-08-03 1125.819916 1392.743508 1722.656216 2165.373705 2751.512296 3511.760198 4590.418362
2025-08-10 985.868886 1283.523200 1675.282213 2238.576320 3044.449282 4182.322545 5959.885236
2025-08-17 878.819723 1191.014457 1622.935522 2279.726889 3281.674187 4802.145142 7385.957872
2025-08-24 791.998252 1109.679194 1567.921839 2298.717192 3477.346886 5383.751163 8880.762598
2025-08-31 721.613154 1040.590631 1517.742630 2311.409367 3657.062618 5964.546151 10511.845882
2025-09-07 670.637555 992.955456 1491.567732 2354.246581 3888.036027 6670.901103 12557.930266
2025-09-14 603.882151 912.812154 1403.533412 2279.650038 3898.256250 6974.320513 13879.956726
2025-09-21 548.180209 844.204447 1325.828905 2210.748685 3904.641988 7266.683905 15254.812514
2025-09-28 498.381004 780.278610 1248.793799 2132.078510 3878.058339 7484.393902 16519.026258
2025-10-05 480.923400 768.368261 1258.837531 2213.670099 4179.093519 8450.821246 19916.924236
2025-10-12 457.761996 744.335016 1244.656087 2246.566793 4384.614358 9250.359733 23169.393140
2025-10-19 436.258248 722.245682 1233.452248 2287.603373 4623.873520 10207.673450 27325.325823
2025-10-26 414.345213 697.601643 1215.260683 2312.783460 4835.018814 11157.502609 31919.976114
2025-11-02 400.978161 687.135834 1222.467045 2391.558904 5185.394903 12563.617373 38733.160760
2025-11-09 384.812176 669.904784 1214.526304 2436.148876 5461.713207 13848.034912 45851.191002
2025-11-16 367.518337 648.982329 1196.994976 2456.707549 5681.492512 15035.350778 53327.910803
2025-11-23 351.035327 628.227327 1177.684793 2470.452409 5886.503749 16242.526603 61702.383818
2025-11-30 338.874961 614.952508 1172.525478 2516.850087 6190.707520 17870.143953 73232.581556
2025-12-07 316.631500 579.805933 1117.842773 2436.062101 6119.783534 18209.542743 78608.335367
2025-12-14 296.741985 548.086928 1067.963382 2361.479105 6054.897623 18559.108470 84369.758731
2025-12-21 277.569481 516.605383 1016.168520 2276.366459 5944.964169 18719.898120 89258.151636
2025-12-28 273.114385 515.315407 1031.000396 2364.640685 6386.443978 21138.271937 110297.200402